Load Forecast Development Process

The processes for development and implementation of the PJM forecasts are maintained in this section along with Manual 19: Load Forecasting and Analysis WEB | PDF. The normalized peak and allocations for the past several planning periods are also maintained here along with the current Load Forecast Report, PJM Entity Forecast and Load Management historical data.

Forecasts & Reports

Date
5 Coincident Peaks & Weather Normalized Zonal Peaks - Summer
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 PDF 
 
Load Forecast
2023: Report PDF | Data XLS
Previous Reports ZIP
 
1.26.2023
12.29.2022
PJM Model Review - Final Report from Itron PDF
12.29.2022
2022 Mid-Year Update - Informational Only XLS
7.29.2022

Supplemental Materials

Date
Weather Normalized Peaks XLS
12.29.2022

2023

 
Load Forecast Supplement PDF 
12.29.2022
Sector Models and End-Use Indices
Residential XLS
Commercial XLS
Industrial XLS
Heat Cool Other XLS
 
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
Forecast Assumptions
Economics
Households PDF
Population PDF
Working Age Population PDF
Real Goods Output PDF
Real Services Output PDF
Real Personal Income PDF
Service Employment PDF


12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
End Use
End Use Variables PDF

12.29.2022
Electric Vehicles
Electric Vehicle Totals XLS

12.29.2022
Calendar
Calendar Variables XLS

12.29.2022
Behind the Meter
Distributed Solar Annual Energy XLS
Distributed Solar and Battery Nameplate XLS

1.26.2023
12.29.2022
Final Model
Coefficients XLS
Model Residuals PDF
Seasonal Plots: Daily Peak and Weather PDF
Seasonal Plots: Hourly Peak and Weather PDF

12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022

Interruptible Load Resources

Date
Weather Standards for Demand Response Certification PDF
2.24.2022
Peak Shaving Adjustment Plan Template XLS 8.25.2021
Historical Load Management Events XLS
11.22.2022